Summer Storms + Tropics

Happy start to the work week!

The radar shows that we are mainly dry with partly cloudy skies. Our winds are from the Southeast ranging from 5-15 mph while our temperatures are forecast to stay in the low 90’s. Showers and storms will be possible along coast with most of the activity pushing inland into Southwest Florida. Our rain chances are forecast at 50% today.

By Tuesday, additional moisture is in the forecast and the potential for some tropical downpours exist due to an area we are watching in the Caribbean Sea.

Scenario #1: If the area in the Caribbean gets better organized we can expect drier days in South Florida.

Scenario #2: If the area in the Caribbean remains disorganized we will see more rain in South Florida.

Most of the computer models are forecasting that South Florida will see about 2 1/2” inches of rain over the next 48 hours.

From Thursday through the weekend, typical Summer- like pattern will return with some afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Tropical Update:

We are following a strong tropical wave about 350 miles East- Southeast of Kingston, Jamaica which has become significantly better organized overnight. Tropical-storm force winds ranging from 40-45 mph are occurring on the Northern and Eastern areas of this large area of clouds and rain. If this trend continues, a tropical depression or tropical storm “Earl” could form later today or tonight as the system moves westward over the est- central Caribbean Sea at 20 to 25 mph. Locally heavy rains and gusty winds, perhaps to tropical storm force, are likely along the southern coast of the Dominican Republic and Haiti today. The National Hurricane Center predicts that the formation chances through the next 48 hours will be at 80% and the formation chances over the next 5 days will be at 90%, so keep it tuned to your Storm Station for the latest.

Most of the models keep this area moving west impacting Jamaica by tonight. Eventually it will approach the Yucatan Peninsula and Belize by the end of the week.

Make it a great day South Florida!

Vivian Gonzalez

Meteorologist, AMS Certified

Channel 7, WSVN