We are about 2 weeks away from the official start (June 1st) of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season and development could happen this weekend. It is not unusual for early season activity to take place. In fact, last year Subtropical Storm Andrea formed on May 21st in the Western Atlantic. It lasted less than 24 hours!
All models are suggesting that a spin of low pressure will develop near the Northwest Bahamas in the Western Atlantic on Saturday. That is why The National Hurricane Center is watching this area and giving it a high chance to form into a subtropical depression or storm no later than Sunday.
9AM UPDATE BY NHC: Broad area of low pressure expected to form late this week or weekend near or N of the Bahamas. Conditions appear favorable for growth. A Subtropical depression or storm likely to form while it moves NE over the Western Atlantic. @wsvn pic.twitter.com/LprJOnqs1l
— Vivian Gonzalez (@VivianGonzalez7) May 13, 2020
The Southern branch of the jet stream should keep this potential system away from the United States.
Regardless of development, windy and rainy setup possible for South Florida by the end of the week. Heavy rain potential could stick around through Saturday with rough marine and beach conditions.
Just how much rain will South Florida get? Depends on how close the low spins up.
As low pressure forms near the Bahamas in the Western Atlantic and moves gradually away this weekend, South #Florida weather could possibly be windy and rainy from Thursday through Friday. Heavy rain potential may continue into Saturday. @wsvn #flwx pic.twitter.com/2lQJ7dTUlT
— Vivian Gonzalez (@VivianGonzalez7) May 13, 2020
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Vivian Gonzalez
Meteorologist, AMS Certified
WSVN Channel 7