Most computer models insist that a stormy pattern is ahead for South Florida. Believe it or not all related to the tropics. Over the weekend, we started monitoring an area of disturbed weather located over the Southeast United States. Since Monday morning, situated around Central Georgia. As this area drifts into the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico, it will meander over warm waters and have the opportunity to get organized. Based on climatology, the Gulf of Mexico is an area we tend to look at for tropical development in the month of July.
Steering winds will be out of the Southwest, so this mean plenty of moisture will be in the air for Florida to experience pockets of heavy rain and thunderstorms moving from West to East. This will be the case through Thursday.
Low pressure forecast to form over the Gulf of Mexico in the next couple of days. Texas to Florida should closely watch. Track & intensity is uncertain. @wsvn @7weather #flwx pic.twitter.com/EKorNxhoIP
— Vivian Gonzalez (@VivianGonzalez7) July 8, 2019
How much rain we receive will depend on track and intensity of whatever forms in the Gulf of Mexico. Better than 4 inches possible from North to Central Florida. Mainly around West coast areas.
How much rain for Florida? It will depend on track & intensity of potential low pressure area that develops in the Gulf of Mexico by Thursday-Friday. @wsvn @7weather #flwx pic.twitter.com/EgILme4bER
— Vivian Gonzalez (@VivianGonzalez7) July 8, 2019
The National Hurricane Center keeps increasing the chance for development and it is high at 80%. Regardless of development, this will mean a heavy rain event likely for the Northern and Eastern United States over the next couple of days.
Heavy rain event likely along portions of the Northern & Eastern U.S. this week. Low pressure expected to form once it moves into the Gulf of Mexico. Chance keeps going up. Now 80% chance to develop through the next 5 days. @wsvn @7weather #flwx pic.twitter.com/MDVkv2TEcC
— Vivian Gonzalez (@VivianGonzalez7) July 8, 2019
South Florida will get indirectly impacted by this area as lots of tropical moisture is forecast to linger. This means on and off downpours producing gusty winds and some areas of street flooding. Our rain chances go down by Friday with a typical Summer pattern heading into the weekend of early sunshine with a passing shower on the breeze, lots of heat and isolated inland storms in the afternoon. High temperatures will also climb into the low 90’s.
Isolated strong storm possible by the afternoon that could produce heavy rains leading to some areas of street flooding. @wsvn @7weather #flwx pic.twitter.com/FXcGBGLlta
— Vivian Gonzalez (@VivianGonzalez7) July 8, 2019
Have a wonderful day South Florida and make it a safe one. Keep it tuned to your Storm Station!
Vivian Gonzalez
Meteorologist, AMS Certified
WSVN Channel 7